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Expectancy Tables

View the available subjects below to see the specific cut scores on the SAT Suite of Assessments that are associated with varying probabilities (or thresholds) of success on a given AP exam. The probabilities of success range from 10% to 90% and show the minimum scores associated with earning a 3 or higher for each probability level. The higher the probability level, the higher the score on the SAT Suite needed, and the more likely that the selected students will earn a 3 or higher.

AP African American Studies
Total Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	960
80	890
70	840
60	800
50	770
40	730
30	690
20	650
10	580
Total N = 12,862

AP Art History
Evidence-Based Reading and Writing Section Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	700
80	630
70	590
60	550
50	520
40	490
30	450
20	410
10	340
Total N = 36,698

AP Biology
Total Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	1190
80	1130
70	1090
60	1060
50	1030
40	1000
30	970
20	930
10	870
Total N = 110,966

AP Calculus AB*
Math Section Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	700
80	660
70	620
60	600
50	570
40	550
30	520
20	490
10	450
Total N = 202,312
* Although AP Potential is no longer reported for Calculus BC, students with AP Potential for Calculus AB who perform well in courses leading to Calculus may consider taking Calculus BC. When making final course placement decisions, it is important to consider factors such as prior coursework, student interest, and motivation.

AP Chemistry
Total Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	1220
80	1150
70	1090
60	1050
50	1010
40	970
30	930
20	880
10	800
Total N = 85,797

AP Computer Science A
Total Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	1390
80	1300
70	1230
60	1180
50	1130
40	1080
30	1020
20	960
10	860
Total N = 85,611

AP Computer Science Principles
Total Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	1240
80	1160
70	1100
60	1060
50	1010
40	970
30	930
20	870
10	790
Total N = 45,640

AP English Language
Evidence-Based Reading and Writing Section Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	550
80	510
70	490
60	470
50	450
40	430
30	410
20	380
10	350
Total N = 377,684

AP English Literature
Evidence-Based Reading and Writing Section Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	590
80	550
70	520
60	500
50	480
40	460
30	440
20	410
10	370
Total N = 313,821

AP Environmental Science
Total Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	1120
80	1060
70	1020
60	990
50	960
40	930
30	890
20	850
10	790
Total N = 156,423

AP European History
Total Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	1180
80	1090
70	1030
60	980
50	940
40	900
30	850
20	790
10	700
Total N = 36,275

AP Government & Politics: Comparative
Total Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	1300
80	1210
70	1150
60	1110
50	1060
40	1020
30	970
20	920
10	830
Total N = 13,325

AP Government & Politics: United States
Total Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	1160
80	1090
70	1040
60	1000
50	960
40	930
30	880
20	840
10	760
Total N = 228,840

AP Human Geography
Total Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	1090
80	1020
70	970
60	930
50	900
40	860
30	820
20	770
10	700
Total N = 39,843

AP Macroeconomics
Total Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	1330
80	1240
70	1180
60	1130
50	1080
40	1040
30	990
20	930
10	840
Total N = 113,614

AP Microeconomics
Total Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	1320
80	1230
70	1170
60	1120
50	1070
40	1020
30	970
20	910
10	820
Total N = 62,431

AP Music Theory
Total Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	1370
80	1250
70	1170
60	1110
50	1050
40	990
30	920
20	840
10	720
Total N = 25,549

AP Physics 1
Total Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	1280
80	1200
70	1150
60	1100
50	1060
40	1020
30	970
20	920
10	840
Total N = 111,049

AP Physics 2
Total Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	1380
80	1280
70	1220
60	1170
50	1120
40	1070
30	1020
20	960
10	860
Total N = 17,479

AP Physics C: Elec. & Mag.
Total Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	1500
80	1390
70	1320
60	1260
50	1200
40	1150
30	1090
20	1010
10	900
Total N = 24,596


AP Physics C: Mechanics
Total Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	1410
80	1320
70	1260
60	1210
50	1160
40	1110
30	1060
20	1000
10	910
Total N = 51,914

AP Precalculus
Math Section Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	550
80	520
70	490
60	470
50	460
40	440
30	420
20	390
10	360
Total N = 114,216

AP Psychology
Total Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	1140
80	1060
70	1010
60	970
50	940
40	900
30	860
20	810
10	740
Total N = 190,054

AP Seminar
Total Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	1120
80	1020
70	960
60	900
50	850
40	810
30	750
20	690
10	590
Total N = 45,919

AP Statistics
Total Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	1330
80	1260
70	1210
60	1170
50	1140
40	1100
30	1060
20	1010
10	940
Total N = 342,715

AP U.S. History
Total Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	1100
80	1030
70	990
60	950
50	920
40	880
30	850
20	800
10	730
Total N = 270,194

AP World History: Modern
Total Score
Probability (%)	≥3
90	1150
80	1080
70	1030
60	990
50	960
40	920
30	880
20	830
10	760
Total N = 60,955

Expectancy Tables

AP African American Studies

AP Art History

AP Biology

AP Calculus AB*

AP Chemistry

AP Computer Science A

AP Computer Science Principles

AP English Language

AP English Literature

AP Environmental Science

AP European History

AP Government & Politics: Comparative

AP Government & Politics: United States

AP Human Geography

AP Macroeconomics

AP Microeconomics

AP Music Theory

AP Physics 1

AP Physics 2

AP Physics C: Elec. & Mag.

AP Physics C: Mechanics

AP Precalculus

AP Psychology

AP Seminar

AP Statistics

AP U.S. History

AP World History: Modern